January 6, 2012
The Ukrainian authorities, hesitating in the political choice between Moscow and Brussels, have put forward two basic arguments to Europe. The first one is the fixation of the prospect of Ukraine’s EU membership in the Association Agreement. The second argument is the necessity of the further imprisonment of the former Prime Minister Y.Tymoshenko. The Ukrainian President has demonstrated to the EU leaders that Y.Tymoshenko will be imprisoned till the Ukrainian court exonerates her from the charge. The present authorities in Ukraine shifted the responsibility for the absence of real results at the EU-Ukraine summit onto the European side.
Europe shouldn’t have been “bought” by political maneuverings of the Ukrainian prevailing authorities. For this purpose, a far prospect of Ukraine’s membership in the EU should have been declaratively fixed in the Association Agreement according to the first argument. Only making it conditional on the achievement of the level of EU standards in the sphere of democracy, political, economic and social development. This would mean that in fact Ukraine wouldn’t enter the EU the following 20-30 years and maybe ever. But formally everything would look democratically and fairly.
As to the second argument, the EU at first can wait for the decision concerning Y.Tymoshenko’s case in the European Court of Human Rights in March of 2012. To make the initialing and signing of the Association Agreement between the EU and Ukraine only after the decision of the European Court of Human Rights on Tymoshenko case in March 2012. By this the EU will avoid the political evaluations from the side of Ukrainian authorities and will keep the further dialogue with the People of Ukraine.
In reality, Europeans continue to use the practice of “double standards” concerning Ukraine. But the EU should understand that this will consequentially lead to the double price for Europe itself. The “double game” of the European Union can result in the beginning of federalization of Ukraine according to the Yugoslavian scenario. This will not only add more troubles to the all-European crisis, but also will lead to the appearance of a new complex of risks and threats at the EU borders. And is Europe ready for this? Very unlikely.
Author : Viktor Tkachuk